LE CYGNE NOIR TALEB PDF

Download Citation on ResearchGate | On Jan 1, , Armand Rioust de Largentaye and others published Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Le Cygne. Le Cygne noir has ratings and reviews. by. Nassim Nicholas Taleb (Goodreads Author), (less). flag · See all 6 questions about Le Cygne noir. Le cygne noir (Nassim Nicholas Taleb). 3 likes. Book.

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An anti-academic academic weaves a non-narrative narrative about predicting the tqleb into the theory that rigid theories are bad. Someone on my blog said that I ought to read this book, which for some reason I had on my shelves, but had not read.

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He repeats time and again the predictions on the crisis and the fact that he was laughed at in his trading days, at the xygne time reminding us his need to be a stoic, to persevere, observe, respect raleb be moderate. I disagree with his notion of all-stupid-economics, as there are some highly educated and not only in statistics economists who use the sociological aspect of the issues at hand and who see the problems ahead.

Lucas Carlson Because of the magnitude of disaster possible when people are wrong and unprepared for being wrong.

Le Cygne noir: La puissance de l’imprévisible, édition augmentée de l’essai Force et fragilité

Just think of the scene in where the guy stops at a phone kiosk to make a video call home. Studies he mentions, such as the one showing you may well be better off trusting a cab driver’s financial advice than that of the Federal Reserve chairman, should be cygnr more.

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Terus terang, kalau hujah penulis diambil kira dan dipandang serius; ia akan meruntuhkan disiplin ilmu statistik dan kebarangkalian konvensional sedia ada. So, science fiction, which tends to take a Japanese engineering approach to the future, becomes outdated very quickly, because it simply can’t predict the astonishing leaps forward that are bound to happen, even though no-one knows what they are. Taleb believes that prizes, honorary degrees, awards, and ceremonialism debase knowledge by turning it into a spectator sport.

Taleb received his bachelors and masters degree in science from the University of Paris. To jest intelektualny gigant.

A Black Swan is an unexpected event with a major impact. Things are not as easy as they appear to be. The author corroborates his line of thoughts by claiming that categorizing always produces reduction in true complexity. I came away with this diffuse sense of overconfidence from Taleb I think I understand but it seems very polemic and close minded to me the way he dismisses cgne.

If you’re not a Buddhist monk, this book should terrify you before its more comforting side opens up to you. Black Swan – Thoughts? What does this have to do with science moir I said somewhere that no event, however improbable, couldn’t be made to appear inevitable after the fact by a competent historian.

Le Cygne noir by Nassim Nicholas Taleb on Apple Books

I’m glad to have finally found a successful non-fiction author who hates so many of the same things that I do, for the same reasons. If we create the rules, this does not mean that they are absolutely true, not does this limit our continuous hunger for education.

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Taleb explains why some of the toxic stuff is the way it is in a way that greatly increased my ability to understand and deal with it on its own terms going forward.

The importance to the general public of having a better understanding of the true risks in our world, especially in financial matters, is now readily apparent since the economic collapse, which Taleb accurately predicted in this book published in History or past experiences only give an illusion of the future events, which can totally be different from the expected.

I won’t go much into what it’s about as I’m sure there are plenty of reviews covering that. More, I like the ideas. Reading it felt like being part of a revolution. Other books in the series.

The events with the greatest impact also tend to be the least foreseeable. Amazon Rapids Fun stories for kids on the go. Talib even encourages you to skip certain chapters if you don’t want to be bogged down in the details or the math. We like stories, we like to summarize, and we like to simplify; i. Don’t have a Kindle?

Amazon Drive Cloud storage from Amazon. Share your thoughts with other customers. I’m ok with that. Signore, professore dottore Eco, what a library you have!